June 22, 2024

I got five words for you… you ready? Don’t let me get hot. DON”T LET ME GET HOT! 3-2 last week, baby. Hotter than a pistol. We got bowl games, we got Saturday NFL — let’s dive in the deep end.

Odds by ESPN BET

Saturday’s bowl pick

California Golden Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3, 57.5)
Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl:
9:15 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, Independence Stadium, Shreveport, La.

Van Pelt’s pick: California +3

We have a running list of places where things get weird, and the honorary capital of Weirdsville, USA this weekend is Shreveport — wasn’t the Independence Bowl played in a blizzard once? What’s any of this have to do with taking Cal plus the points over Texas Tech? Not one thing. Which is what I know about this game — other than the side we are backing — that’s Cal.

SVP: 10-6 all-time when picking California

Saturday’s NFL pick

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 42.5)
4:30 p.m. ET, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

Van Pelt’s pick: Steelers +1.5

OK, NFL sides… Saturday tripleheader where it’s backup-palooza in the first two games. I’m backing Pittsburgh in Indianapolis… that’s [Mittch] Trubisky and [Gardner] Minshew. Somebody will move to 8-6. I’m not sure if they’re good or not, but the winner might have a good enough record to make the playoffs.

SVP: 3-2 all-time when picking the Steelers

Sunday’s NFL picks

Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5, 50.5)
4:05 p.m. ET, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.

Van Pelt’s pick: Commanders +6.5

Not sure where Washington is on the “want-to” scale after a bye, and a coaching change seems imminent. Rams, on the other hand, have been fighting like mad men. But coming off an OT loss, I think this is a close-ish game, and we are taking the Commanders plus the points in LA.

SVP: 1-3 all-time when picking the Commanders

Baltimore Ravens (-3, 42.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
8:20 p.m. ET, EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, Fla.

Van Pelt’s pick: Jaguars +3

Speaking of the Rams-Ravens OT game last week, the Ravens eeked it out and are the 1-seed for the moment in the AFC. Jacksonville has dropped a couple in a row. I’m taking the home team here plus the points in what seems likely to be a back-and-forth and competitive game.

SVP: 7-3 all-time when picking the Jaguars

Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills (-2.5, 50.5)
4:25 p.m. ET, Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Van Pelt’s pick: Bills -2.5

Finally, in what is sure to be the biggest game of Sunday in terms of audience — gimme Buffalo at home against Dallas. There’s a lot going on here. Mostly, I can’t quit the Bills. But also, the Cowboys have been a very different team away from home. Weather is not supposed to be a factor — Bills Mafia might be though. Let’s go Buffalo to pick up a win.

SVP: 3-7 all-time when picking the Bills

Five. 5-er. Old school. Tight, lean and focused effort.

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